Caesar’s. Even though Roki Sasaki has looked better of late, this is still a high line for the second-year pro. He’s under this outs line in 9/12 starts, pitching to a 4.76 ERA (4.37 xERA). Needing 4.02 pitches per plate appearance (14th percentile amongst qualifiers), he’ll face an Orioles lineup that’s third in that metric, and has the sixth lowest team chase rate.

Mookie Betts’ modest .203 average and 7 home runs are partly due to missing a month with an oblique strain, but his advanced stats indicate improvement is on the horizon. Betts ranks in the 98th percentile for Sweet-Spot% (44.2%), showing he’s making quality contact. On Friday, he’ll face Trey Gibson, a pitcher who struggles to generate strikeouts with just 12 in 21 innings. It’s also Mookie Betts “Game 7 Double Play” Bobblehead Night at Dodger Stadium. Betts has a history of delivering on promo nights—he crushed a memorable homer on his first Dodgers Bobblehead Night in 2021 and collected multiple hits in two other giveaway games. Given both the favorable matchup and the special occasion, we have to play this at the current number.