The Reds are the third-best over team in baseball at 42-27-1, going 60.9% over. But most of that lately is because of the other team scoring, as the Reds have only 34 RBIs for the month, which is the lowest in baseball. Rookie right-hander Chase Burns is pitching tonight, and it should be a low-scoring game by the Mets. I'm looking at a 4-2 score with the game to be decided when Burns leaves the game. Under is the play.

Let's take a look at betting against the Reds today, who are second-to-last in batting average for the month and dead last in RBIs for the month. The Mets come off winning a series against the Braves, winning three of their past four and 10 of their last 16. The Reds have lost their past five series, including over the weekend to the sluggish Diamondbacks, where they only scored seven runs in the three-game series. Right-hander Chase Burns has been solid for the Reds, going 7-1 with a 2.14 ERA, but the Mets can take advantage when he leaves the game, in an expected low-scoring game. The Mets at plus money is the play.