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Caesar’s. Tyler Mahle has allowed 60 hits in 51.2 innings this season, with at least five given up in 7/10 starts. This includes his last start against the Diamondbacks in which he allowed 8 hits. The Diamondbacks offense has been hot in general, with a .275 batting average against righties over the last two weeks, as well as the highest line drive rate (24.6%) and third best hard hit rate (40.2%). Even if Mahle (.294 OBA) regresses to the mean (.250 xBA), this is still a line the D-Backs should hit within the first 22 batters.
It was less than a week ago that Tyler Mahle faced this Diamondbacks team and gave up 6 earned runs through 5 innings and there's very little evidence that he'll have a drastic improvement this time around. Eduardo Rodriguez is due for some regression for Arizona, but the Giants aren't great against lefties and I think he does enough to limit runs. Ultimately, this is a fade of Mahle and a lean on the Dbacks bats that are starting to heat up.
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