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FanDuel. Going to ride the wave with Jacob Misiorowski on his strikeout prop. The Brewers ace has cleared this line in 7/9 starts this season, including each of his last five. While the Cubs are tough, there are enough targets for the Miz tonight. In pitcher-friendly Wrigley Field tonight, I’m on the over.
Jacob Misiorowski has not allowed an earned run in his last three starts (18.1 IP), even while dealing with cramps. Ben Brown, after starting in the bullpen, has looked dominant in his previous two outings and should reach 80 pitches in his third start. Both pitchers have limited hitters: Misiorowski (.242 xWOBA in 56 ABs vs. the Cubs lineup) and Brown (.245 xWOBA in 58 ABs vs. the Brewers lineup). The Cubs, once on a 10-game win streak, have now lost three straight and are 2-9 in their last 11 games. Alex Bregman (third batter) and Ian Happ (fourth) went a combined 0-for-8 last night. I like the home team in this system spot with temps falling and winds subsiding throughout the game.
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