Caesar’s. Dylan’s Cease has allowed at least five hits in five of eight starts, including each of his last four outings. The Rays pose an interesting matchup for the righty as they are the premier contact-oriented team in baseball. The Rays have both the highest in and out of zone contact rate, the latter pertinent against a pitcher like Cease, who has an elite chase rate. The Rays own a .261 average against power pitchers, earning a hit in 22% of plate appearances. I don’t see this as a matchup where Cease will be able to stack K’s, and the Rays bats - especially their top four hitters - should squeeze out at least five hits in the first 23 plate appearances.

The Rays are scalding hot and I love to see Little Brother win big, but it's a natural trappish spot at the end of a trip. Today's lineup is rather meh. So is starting pitcher Griffin Jax (1-2, 5.00 ERA). Meanwhile, the Jays usually are excellent at home but on the verge of being swept by a division rival before going out on a trip. After also being swept in St. Pete last week by these same Rays. So behind ace Dylan Cease (3-1, 2.58), yeah, I think this is a bit more than a typical mid-May game for Toronto.