DraftKings. Shane Baz has been knocked around this season, allowing 40 hits in 34 innings. His opponent batting average allowed is .301, with the xBA being .268 - even with an expected regression, he’d still be well below the major league average. He’s particularly struggled against lefties, allowing a staggering 26 hits in 85 plate appearances, as hitters have crushed both his four-seamer and curveball. The Yankees likely trot out six lefties tonight, and that doesn’t include Ben Rice, who left the game early yesterday, or Aaron Judge (4/10 with two homers off Baz).

Cam Schlittler is 4-1 with a 1.51 ERA and the Yankees bullpen has a 2.27 ERA the last two weeks. That combo should keep the Orioles’ offense down. Meanwhile, Shane Baz has allowed one run in two of his starts, and 3-4 in the other four. The bullpen behind him in those last two weeks: 6.24. The run line drops the odds by over 100 points, so we’ll go with that.

FanDuel. This is a nice spot to back Yankees phenom Can Schlittler. The right hander is amid a breakout campaign in which he’s pitched at a Cy Young level: 1.51 ERA, 2.38 xERA, 49 Ks in 41.2 IP, and a baseball savant page littered with red. He pumps the zone, consistently finding himself in two strike counts, which should play in his favor tonight against the Orioles. Baltimore has the second highest called plus swinging strike rate as a team this season (28.8%), and a gaudy 30% K% against power pitchers. And the Orioles bats have been significantly worse on the road this season overall, especially against righties (27% K% and a .599 OPS over 403 plate appearances). Take the over on Schlittler’s K’s tonight.