Logan Gilbert has stayed under the total in his last three starts, including April 6th against Jacob deGrom and the Rangers. DeGrom has been pitching his best over his last two starts, allowing only one run each and staying under in both. Seattle has a slight edge being at home, but they're only hitting .209 on the season, which ranks 28th in baseball. Seattle has stayed under in 11 of their 21 games. The under is the play.

The Rangers have won Jacob deGrom's last three starts to start the season, and in his last two, he looked like classic deGrom by allowing one run each, including 11 days ago in a 2-1 win over the Mariners. He faced Logan Gilbert on that day, and the Mariners lost three in a row to start the season until his last start, when he beat Houston, 6-1. The Rangers hit .231 as a team, but in night games, Gilbert is allowing batters to hit .281 and sits at a 5.40 ERA. Texas to win.