DraftKings. Let’s get it out of the way at the top: I’m fading a legend of the game in his last regular season start in the only stadium he’s ever called home. That being said, Clayton Kershaw is under this line in 10 of his last 12 starts. The Dodgers have been cautious with his workload, and I don’t see them pushing Kershaw too far tonight. In fact, I wouldn’t be shocked if he got a quick mid-inning ing hook to allow the crowd an opportunity to celebrate. The Giants have maintained a below average strikeout rate since the All Star Break, and hit Kershaw hard (with only two strikeouts) just last week.

Willy Adames is hitless in his last 4 games, but the model still finds value here due to his slugging numbers vs. left-handed pitching. He has 11 HRs in 43 games where the opposing pitcher is a lefty. Clayton Kershaw has given up just 1 HR in his last 11 starts, but he hasn't been at his best lately. We set the line at +276 for Adames to homer.

Clayton Kershaw only went 4.2 innings last time out as he was a bit wild but had gone at least five innings in seven straight prior. Kershaw has announced he will retire after this season so this is his last regular-season start at Dodger Stadium and maybe last overall depending on how the playoffs shake out. I find it hard to believe that Dave Roberts won't let Kershaw at least go five to earn a possible win in his home finale unless he's getting smacked around. At home, Kershaw is 5-0 with a 3.38 ERA.