Cody Bellinger's play has been a big reason why the Yankees have played better as of late. The Yankees are 14-6 over the last 20 games, and Bellinger is hitting .300 with an .890 OPS in that time frame. In 5 second-half starts, Simeon Woods Richardson has a 6.75 ERA with 6 HRs allowed. The consensus line is +360, so getting +442 on DraftKings is a strong value. We set his line at +342 to homer today.

The Twins are the worst team in baseball in the second half with an 18-35 record and -81 run differential. Starting pitcher Simeon Woods Richardson has a 4.58 ERA and he won't go more than five innings before a bad bullpen (5.68 ERA in second half) takes over. Carlos Rodon won't have trouble against that bad Twins' lineup, either.