The Mets have an incredibly fresh bullpen, and they've now lost four in a row and five of their last six. Time is of the essence for this club, as they lead the final wild card spot by just two games over the Giants and the Reds are also hot on their tail. They need a win badly and I don't think they let Clay Holmes run all that far if he's getting into trouble. The Phillies lineup is slightly depleted without some starters like Trea Turner, Alec Bohm and Nick Castellanos, but we still would need Holmes to work into the sixth inning here to beat us and he's at a point in the season where the Mets want to limit his innings.