Not the most attractive game on the board but here we are. Minnesota continues their struggles, 2-8 SU in their last 10 games. The White Sox Aaron Civale has struggled of late, allowing a combined 12 earned runs in his last 9.1 innings. However, he faces a Minnesota team hitting .195 over their last seven days. Despite one win in their last seven games, the White Sox are hitting .287 over their last seven days and have the better bullpen.

When Matt Wallner makes contact, he hits the ball very far—but he also has a strikeout rate near 30%. He's facing Aaron Civale today, who isn't a high strikeout pitcher, which improves Wallner's chances of making contact. Civale has a 6.25 ERA at home compared to a 3.97 ERA on the road this season. Our model likes this spot for Wallner, and we would set his line to homer around +360.