Sonny Gray has fanned 22 batters in his three August starts covering 19 innings. This is a great matchup for Gray. Over the past 30 days, the Rays are striking out at the second-highest rate vs. right-handed pitching. Tampa Bay has averaged 10.3 strikeouts over its last three games. Look for Gray to fan at least six.

The Rays are coming off two games against the Yankees in which New York tied an MLB record with 14 homers over two games. A big reason for that was the hitter-friendly conditions at Steinbrenner Field. Alec Burleson is having a solid season with a .786 OPS and 15 HRs, including 12 of those against right-handed pitchers. Rays' SP Joe Boyle has allowed 4 HRs in his last two starts, with opponents batting .333 and posting a 1.401 OPS over those outings. While Boyle has been nearly unhittable at home, the sample size is small, and we're not reading too much into it. We set Burleson's line around +500, but factoring in the hitter-friendly conditions, there's likely even more value.