Kansas City is 8-2 SU as favorites in their last 10 games at home. The Nationals are still searching for their first win against them this season, 0-4 SU thus far. The newest member of Kansas City, Bailey Falter is undefeated in his career against the Nationals. Washington has struggled against lefties on the season, hitting .234. Cade Cavalli makes his second start of the season, but the Nationals won his first start where is went scoreless in 4.1 innings against the A’s. The number for Kansas City seems low and could be a decent spot for the Nats.

I generally try to stay at a max of three MLB plays per day (soft rule) because then I figure if go 2-1, end up plus. But seeing Bobby Witt Jr. in the Kansas City lineup (out Sunday) was the push I needed to add a fourth. The Royals are starting their longest remaining homestand off a long trip. This is really it in terms of turns of WC contention. The last-place Nats (25-34 away) had to fly from the West Coast. I'm a big intangibles guy because AI can tell you stats but can't explain why anyone ever liked "Weird" Al Jankovic. Boy is one letter different LOL. Intangibles didn't work for July/early August in MLB. I think coming back for the stretch run.

James Wood broke out of a long HR slump on Saturday and is coming off back-to-back two-hit games—though he did strike out three times in each game. He's also recorded a double in three straight games. Interestingly, Wood has hit better against left-handed pitchers (.271) than righties (.250) this season, and he's shown slightly better production on the road than at home. Bailey Falter has given up nine home runs in just six starts since the beginning of July. We set Wood's line at +412 to homer.