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Tue, Aug 1212:10 am UTCDaikin Park
Boston
Red Sox
BOS
Last 5 ML
W/L89-73
ATS84-78
O/U75-81-6
FINAL SCORE
6
-
7
Houston
Astros
HOU
Last 5 ML
W/L87-75
ATS81-81
O/U72-83-7
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
89-73
Win /Loss
87-75
84-78
Spread
81-81
75-81-6
Over / Under
72-83-7
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
BOS @ HOU
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Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
BOS @ HOU
Subscribers Only

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OVER / UNDER
BOS @ HOU
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

74%
PUBLIC
26%
MONEY
68%
PUBLIC
32%
MONEY
Over90%
PUBLIC
Under10%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

SpreadHouston +1.5 -120
WIN
Unit1.0
+1676
31-15 in Last 46 MLB Picks
+1003
23-10-1 in Last 34 MLB ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Garrett Crochet is starting for Boston and obviously great. Still like the White Sox trade because he screams injury at some point, but I root for him. The Red Sox are well under .500 away. The entire Houston staring IX is right-handed and the team ranks No. 2 in OPS vs. lefties. As I mentioned in today's newsletter, this will be a huge night in H-Town with Carlos Correa's first game back. And I didn't think I could play against Crochet, but this cheap price getting +1.5 on a division leader at home (where it's 35-24), yeah we have to. A 3-2 Houston loss works just fine, but it has the better bullpen.

Pick Made: Aug 11, 8:28 pm UTC on Caesars

Team Injuries

Boston Red Sox
Wednesday, Mar 25, 2026
Avatar
SP
Kutter Crawford
WristIl
Avatar
C
Anthony Seigler
KneeIl
Avatar
1B
Triston Casas
KneeIl
Avatar
SP
Patrick Sandoval
ElbowIl
Thursday, Mar 12, 2026
Avatar
2B
Romy Gonzalez
ShoulderIl
Thursday, Feb 19, 2026
Avatar
SP
Tanner Houck
ElbowIl
Houston Astros
Friday, Mar 27, 2026
Avatar
RP
Bennett Sousa
ObliqueIl
Thursday, Mar 26, 2026
Avatar
RP
Josh Hader
BicepsIl
Wednesday, Mar 25, 2026
Avatar
RP
Enyel De Los Santos
KneeIl
Avatar
RP
Ronel Blanco
ElbowIl
Avatar
RP
Nate Pearson
ElbowIl
Avatar
RP
Hayden Wesneski
ElbowIl
Avatar
RP
Brandon Walter
ElbowIl
Avatar
SS
Zach Dezenzo
ElbowIl
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