The Red Sox are as high as -250 on the moneyline behind ace Garrett Crochet, which is why we love these pitcher to win props. Boston is 9-1 in Crochet's past 10 starts and he personally hasn't lost since April 26. He was 4-0 in four July starts with a 1.73 ERA and is on extra rest as the Sox skipped a start just to keep the lanky lefty fresh. I doubt they let him go more than perhaps six innings the rest of the way for workload reasons, but that should be enough for a home W tonight. Crochet was dominant in a win in K.C. early in the season. The Royals are last in the majors in HRs vs. lefties.