Ryan Pepiot has lost his last four starts, but he still comes in as a favorite over Marcus Stroman at Yankee Stadium. The Rays have lost six of their last seven games and have fallen below .500 with a record of 54-55. Both teams have been struggling to hit, with the Rays hitting .228 and the Yankees hitting .225 in the last 15 days. However, the Yankees have won three of their last four games, and the future looks bright, despite not having Aaron Judge in the lineup. Ryan McMahon has already contributed to a Yankee win since acquiring him from Colorado. Stroman has won two of his last three starts, and the Yankees only need five solid innings out of him. Yankees to win.

Brandon Lowe has seen Marcus Stroman before—he's 4-for-16 with a home run in his career against him. Stroman is allowing left-handed hitters to post a .298 average and .925 OPS this season. Lowe just returned from the IL but looked sharp with two hits yesterday. He's hit 16 of his 19 home runs against right-handed pitchers and owns a .297 average with an .881 OPS against them. We set Lowe's line at +380 to homer.

Junior Caminero is worth a shot at +475 on a short slate day. He's been much better against right-handed pitchers this season, with 21 of his 27 home runs coming against them. While Marcus Stroman has been solid in right-on-right matchups, he's allowing an .878 OPS at Yankee Stadium this season. Caminero hasn't faced Stroman yet, but this version of Stroman is very hittable. We set Caminero's line at +330 to homer.