The Twins are having some offensive struggles, losing four of their last five and scoring only three runs between their last four but they're 22-17 at home this season, 41-46 overall. The Rays are only one game out of first in the AL East at 48-39 but have lost four of their last six, cooling off from a hot stretch. They lead baseball in hitting the last 30 days at .287. The edge here is betting against Chris Paddack, who the Twins have lost seven of his last eight starts. The same pitching matchup happened on May 20th, and the Rays won 7-2. Rays win.

Though making a brief surge in May, Twins starter Chris Paddack struggled again in June, posting a 6.06 ERA for the month across six outings, while Minnesota has now lost in seven of Paddack's last eight starts dating to late May. That follows the Twins performance pattern in recent weeks, as Minnesota enters this weekend on a 5-15 skid. Meanwhile the Rays have been excelling on the road, where their 20-14 mark is MLB's best, and Zack Littell is off of a very serviceable June when he posted a 3.00 ERA. Play Rays on Money Line