Cam Smith, who played just 32 minor league games before making the Opening Day roster this season, has had to adjust on the fly and has been one of the better hitters in baseball since May. He hit above .300 in both May and June. The model loves Smith today because he is facing a LHP and is in hitter-friendly Coors Field. Smith has a 1.018 OPS against left-handed pitchers this season, and 4 of his 13 hits against lefties have been home runs. Right-handed batters are hitting .340 with a .881 OPS against Kyle Freeland this season. At Coors, batters are hitting .387 with a .998 OPS against him. The splits are in Smith's favor, and we set his line at +475 to homer.

There's no reason to be afraid of laying a price on the Run Line against the Rockies. Also because it's Kyle Freeland on the mound again Thursday, with Colorado actually losing by three runs or more in seven of his last eight starts. Even huffing and puffing a bit, the hot Astros have won the first two of this midweek set at Coors Field, and extended the margin out to two runs last night. Indeed, it's the one-run losses that are a bit rare for Colorado. Meanwhile, Houston's Brandon Walter gets his first experience in Denver, but aside from one bumpy start vs. the Angels has allowed two or fewer runs in his other four starts. Play Astros on Run Line