A predictable team in the month of June have been the Kansas City Royals. They had a six game losing streak, followed up by a four game winning streak, and now have lost three in a row. Tampa Bay came into the season knowing once late June hit they were going to have a heavy road schedule. That mindset I believe helps them initially get wins on the road, and take another win against the Royals.

Brandon Lowe has been swinging a strong bat since the start of May. Lowe hit .281 in May and has a .312 batting average so far in June. Lowe is also usually worth a play according to our model when he is facing RHPs, against whom he is hitting .294 with 13 of his 15 home runs. Lowe is just 1-10 in his career against Michael Wacha, which is likely why the line is priced where it is at despite Lowe facing a right-handed pitcher in hitter-friendly conditions (9 out of 10 on the Home Run Index). Lowe is currently riding an 11-game hit streak. We set the line at +420 for him to stay hot and homer.

Tampa Bay seems to have no plans to slow down anytime soon, as the Rays are up to 23-8 across their last 31 games after last night's 5-1 win in KC. Taj Bradley kept the Royals handcuffed before the bullpen finished the job, and now it's Drew Rasmussen's turn after his six-start win streak was ended by the Orioles last week. Still, Rasmussen is spinning a 3.61 ERA and 0.97 WHIP this season, and should rate an edge on Michael Wacha, who was effective in his last start vs. the Rangers but in June has a 4.67 ERA. It's also a staggering eight losses in a row for KC at home. Play Rays on Money Line