Standalone game so we gotta play a little something. Don't love fading Garrett Crochet, but we can still cash with him dominating. That Boston lineup today leaves an awful lot to be desired, that's for sure. The Sox have only scored two runs in two games since Rafael Devers was traded. Seattle's Luis Castillo has five quality starts in his past six overall and a 2.35 ERA at home this season. Lower-scoring games (total of 6.5) are obviously more likely to be determined by a single run.

Garrett Crochet went 8 1/3 innings last time and his pitch counts have been ratcheting up lately. He leads the AL in innings after only throwing 146 last year. I think the Red Sox shorten his outing a bit today while Luis Castillo throws well and the Red Sox offense struggles again. The Mariners find a way as home 'dogs.