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DraftKings. Clay Holmes has stayed under this line in eight of his thirteen starts, including seven of his last eight. Averaging less than a strikeout per inning, Holmes’ strikeout rate sits slightly below average. He’ll face a Rays lineup that features five hitters with below average strikeout rates against right handed pitching. Holmes excels pitching to contact, with an elite ground ball rate, and the Rays only sport a 20% strikeout rate against ground-ball pitchers.

Juan Soto has been on a tear over the last week. He has 4 multi-hit games over his last 6 games and 2 home runs over the last 3. Since the calendar flipped to June, Soto has posted a 1.333 OPS. Although he's been more consistent in left-on-left matchups this season, Soto has hit 10 of his 13 home runs against right-handed pitchers. Rays' starter Taj Bradley has lowered his home run rate this season but has still allowed 10 home runs in 13 starts. Soto is 0-for-6 in his career against Bradley, but we expect some regression in Bradley's HR rate and his success against Soto. We set the line at +375 for Soto to homer.
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