Zach Neto has 5 multi-hit games over his last 8 games played but hasn't homered during that stretch. We expect his power to show back up soon, considering he already has 10 home runs on the season. Neto is hitting over .300 with 6 home runs in just 21 road games this year. He's 0-for-7 in his career against Charlie Morton, but given Morton's inconsistency and 6.59 ERA, we think there's a good chance Neto finds success in this matchup. We set the line at +400 for Neto to homer, so +600 is a strong value play.

I had no plans to double-play this game as I generally don't like putting all my eggs in one basket. But 6? Wouldn't play 5.5, but this feels somewhat safe in terms of a loss. Both teams could have a three-run jack and we might at worst push. "Jane! Stop this crazy thing!" Told my Discord followers I'd work in the Jetsons ... I was more of a Super Friends guy. "Wonder Twin powers: ACTIVATE!" No major winds at Camden Yards.

One of these days, I will host a live betting thing on Discord (if I can get back in) and show you how I do things very, very different than I do on here. Do I like Charlie Morton -161 worth? Nope. But I do think the O's are turning a bit of a corner now healthy. We don't judge losing to Tarik Skubal on Thursday. When some pitcher sounds like a bit of a loogie, I'm gonna fade him. I hadn't thought of loogie in a while but if you don't think the Halos' Jack Kochanowicz isn't loogie worthy, well ... Jack didn't do well on the SATs because he misspelled his own name. Don't blame him. Also a 6.06 ERA on the road.