Marcell Ozuna is in a bit of a slump over the last week, going just 1-for-24 at the plate. We expect a bounce-back and like today's matchup against the Brewers. Ozuna has hit 8 of his 10 home runs this season against right-handed pitchers, and he's facing one in Aaron Civale who is prone to giving up the long ball. Civale gave up 29 home runs last season. While he's been better over his last few starts in terms of home run prevention, we believe he's due to give up a few today. We set the line at +350 for Ozuna to hit a home run, so there's strong value at +450.