Jazz Chisholm recently returned from the IL and has two multi-hit games in his first three games back. He's played well at Yankee Stadium this season, hitting .286 with a 1.003 OPS at home compared to a .113 average and .465 OPS on the road. Jazz has hit 7 of his 8 home runs at home and 7 of his 8 against right-handed pitchers. He's also 3-for-7 in his career against Walker Buehler, who has a high 1.8 HR/9 rate since last season. We set the line at +370 for Chisholm to homer, so there's value at +425.

Will Warren should be eager to put that last start behind him, after blowing up for the second time this season when he faced the Dodgers in LA. Now back home where he sports a 3.10 ERA and 28 strikeouts in 20 innings, I'm backing a 6th strikeout. The Red Sox have struck out at a surprisingly high rate on the road (26.8%) vs. at home (20.4%) when facing right handed pitchers, and none of these hitters have ever seen the Yankees righty before. Warren has finished with at least five strikeouts in 9/12 starts and the misses consist of the first start of the year, and two blowups of 1.2 and 1.1 inning.