The Detroit Tigers cashed as a slight home underdog yesterday to boost their stout home record to 20-8 on the season. Look for that to be put to the test this morning as Jackson Jobe looks to shake off his first loss on the season. Expect some early runs to help the Giants shake off a downturn at the plate where they have scored two runs or less in four straight games. Take the Giants.

Tigers home games have leaned heavily toward the under this season, with a 16-9 record. Both teams have been involved in low-scoring affairs recently—9 of the last 10 Giants games and 6 of the last 7 Tigers games have gone under the total. Giants' starter Landon Roupp has been solid on the road, posting a sub-4.00 ERA in 8 road starts since last season. He enters this game on a strong run, having thrown back-to-back 6.0-inning shutouts. While there isn't a ton of model value here, games with a low Home Run Index (1–3) and where the model is within 5% of the Vegas total have gone under at a 63% clip. This matchup fits that trend.