The Rays hit Jose Berrios hard last week in an 11-9 Toronto loss north of the border, most of his recent efforts on the mound have been good enough, allowing two runs or fewer in the other four of his last five starts. Moreover, in his four road starts, he has a 2.70 ERA, with the Blue Jays winning three of those four. A greater attraction tonight in Tampa, however, might be to go against the Rays' Shane Baz, who seems to have lost the plot the past few weeks, struggling in every start, with some frightening May numbers (try 9.81 ERA and 2.03 WHIP in four starts) after positing a 2.45 ERA thru April. Play Blue Jays on Money Line

Junior Caminero is in a favorable spot today, playing at home where he's shown significantly better power. He's also been more productive against right-handed pitching, which he'll face again today. Of his eight home runs this season, six have come against righties and seven have been hit at Steinbrenner Field, the Rays' temporary home park. Blue Jays starter José Berríos has a history of giving up home runs, and after a homer-free outing in his last start, some regression is expected. Our model sets Caminero's HR line at +375, making +400 a solid value play.