Ben Brown has been dominant on the road this season, with the Cubs winning his three road starts by a combined score of 44-3 (18-0, 16-3, 10-0). Brown was solid in his start against the Marlins in his start last week as he went 5.1 IP and allowed just 2 ER. The Marlins have struggled with Edward Cabrera on the mound, going just 1-3 in his home starts and 2-4 overall. The Cubs, one of MLB's top teams, are projected to win in 66% of simulations, making this a solid play against one of the league's worst teams.

Kyle Tucker will face Edward Cabrera, who has struggled with control this season (1.53 WHIP) and has allowed five home runs in just 29.1 innings. Edward throws his changeup 27%, sinker 26%, and curveball 23% of the time. That could be a problem as Tucker has a .348 batting average with a .652 slug against changeups, a .409 average with a .818 slug against sinkers, and a .313 average with a .625 slug against curveballs. He has a batting average of .308 with two home runs and a .769 slugging percentage at Marlins Park (2023), which is now called LoanDepot Park. Edward Cabrera has allowed 33 stolen bases in the last two seasons, and the Marlins are ranked last in stolen bases against this season.

Kyle Tucker will face Edward Cabrera, who has struggled with control this season (1.53 WHIP) and has allowed five home runs in just 29.1 innings. Edward throws his changeup 27%, sinker 26%, and curveball 23% of the time. That could be a problem as Tucker has a .348 batting average with a .652 slug against changeups, a .409 average with a .818 slug against sinkers, and a .313 average with a .625 slug against curveballs. He has a batting average of .308 with two home runs and a .769 slugging percentage at Marlins Park (2023), which is now called LoanDepot Park. The Marlins' bullpen has allowed the fifth-most hits this season.

Kyle Tucker will face Edward Cabrera, who has struggled with control this season (1.53 WHIP) and has allowed five home runs in just 29.1 innings. Edward throws his changeup 27%, sinker 26%, and curveball 23% of the time. That could be a problem as Tucker has a .348 batting average with a .652 slug against changeups, a .409 average with a .818 slug against sinkers, and a .313 average with a .625 slug against curveballs. He has a batting average of .308 with two home runs and a .769 slugging percentage at Marlins Park (2023), which is now called LoanDepot Park. The Marlins' bullpen has allowed the fifth-most hits this season.

Books are still trying to pin down the right price for the red-hot Kyle Stowers. Stowers has already launched 10 home runs this season-an impressive jump considering he hit just 6 total over stints in his previous three MLB seasons. However, this power surge isn't entirely out of nowhere; in the minors, he posted a 36-HR pace over a 162-game stretch. The key difference this year is that he's finally settled into a consistent role in the majors. All 10 of his homers have come against right-handed pitchers, and today he faces Cubs starter Ben Brown, a righty who has struggled mightily against left-handed hitters (.305 AVG, .832 OPS allowed). We project Stowers at +550 to go deep, so +650 is solid value.