Brandon Lowe is beginning to find his rhythm at the plate, showing signs of a resurgence with three multi-hit performances in his last five games, including a two-homer outing against Toronto. Notably, six of his seven home runs this season have come against right-handed pitchers, and he's hitting .242 against them—significantly better than his .135 average versus lefties. Lowe has also been more productive on the road, boasting a .809 OPS compared to just .510 at home. While Marlins starter Cal Quantrill has been tougher on lefties this season, his career splits are relatively even, so the matchup remains favorable. Based on our model, we would set Lowe's line around +400, making +575 excellent value.

Nice bounce-back yesterday for the Rays, leveling this Citrus Series by blanking the Marlins 4-0. That puts Tampa Bay at 25-5 the last 30 vs. Miami, and also on course to win its fifth straight series with another success on Sunday. Chances look good as Marlins starter Cal Quantrill has struggled, as his 7.00 ERA and 1.64 WHIP indicates he's a long way from the Quantrill who won15 games as recently as three years ago with Cleveland. Meanwhile, Shane Baz hasn't been especially sharp in his recent rays starts, but the bullpen was on the mark on Saturday and Kevin Cash will be very happy with four or five serviceable innings from his starter. Play Rays on Run Line