Is Atlanta's AJ Smith-Shawver the hottest pitcher in the National League? Could be, and definitely in May, with two starts (both Braves wins) and an 0.66 ERA, including taking a no-hitter into the 8th inning vs. the Reds on May 5. Atlanta has also won in Smith-Shawver's last four starts. Winning is a rare word heard these days around the Nats, though they got one of those on Wednesday to snap a seven-game losing streak. As good as Smith-Shawver has been in his recent starts, Washington's Trevor Williams has been that bad, with a 7.02 ERA across his last three starts. Play Braves on the Run Line.

The Nats are 1-6 on the RL in their last 7 games and are rolling out a non-competitive starter with the worst pen in MLB. James Wood can only do so much and Dylan Crews and Keibert Ruiz are in deep funks in a spotty lineup. AJ Smith-Shawver can use Nats swing-and-miss against them and has a 2.12 ERA at home. His stuff will play up in a day game.