The under is hitting in 53% of simulations, which doesn’t scream value on its own, but this type of game has historically performed well using our model and HRI (Hit Rate Index). When our model is within 5% of the total and the HRI is rated “low” (1-3), unders have gone 36-18-2. Additionally, the under is 12-6 in White Sox games this season when they’ve had 1–2 days without travel. Max Meyer has struggled recently, giving up 3 home runs and 5 earned runs in his last outing, but this White Sox lineup isn’t particularly threatening, especially with an HRI of 2. That suggests a lower offensive output, making the under a solid play.

The White Sox have done very little right as a franchise since winning the 2005 World Series -- jeez, 20 years now -- but did you really believe I wouldn't play something on the Pale Hose in their first home game after Chicago-born Robert Prevost was named the first-ever American Pope on Thursday? The Cubs tried to claim him, but Leo XIV is a White Sox fan and a South Sider. I'm sure Jerry Reinsdorf will do something to blow that divine intervention like trade Leo to the Red Sox for pennies on the dollar i.e. Chris Sale and Garrett Crochet.