Caesar’s. Luis Ortiz has stayed under this line in three of his five starts. He’s pitching to a 5.96 ERA / 5.08 xERA, and his 50% hard hit rate is in the seventh percentile. Ortiz has also struggled with his control, issuing 14 free passes in only 25.2 innings. This should pose an issue against the Twins, who’ve been one of the more patient teams this season. They’re second in baseball with 4.01 pitches per plate appearance, and own the eighth lowest chase rate. Over the last two weeks versus righties, they’re at a 113 wRC+ which includes a 10.3% walk rate.