William Contreras is a buy-low option here. He’s batting just .245 with a .705 OPS so far, which is well below his career norms. He’s hit over .275 with an .825+ OPS in each of the last three seasons. The White Sox are deploying a bullpen game, beginning with Tyler Gilbert and following with Bryse Wilson. Chicago’s bullpen leads MLB in home runs allowed (18), making this a strong spot for Contreras to break out. Our projection lines up with the +500 price, making this a fair value play but its a good matchup for Contreras.

The Pale Hose have a .607 OPS through the first 6 innings of games - worst in MLB. Only two teams have scored fewer than their 61 runs through the first 6 innings of games this season. They have an almost unfathomable .268 OBP through the first 6 innings of games and are facing a lock-in, Cy Young caliber starter from the NL here. Even if this game gets sideways and Freddie K's pitch count gets elevated from all the punchouts, I see him getting us through 6 here. He'll get some DP balls and be smart about his approach. Pale Hose .253 BABIP in innings 1-6 speaks to the soft contact they specialize in with an overwhelmed lineup, especially vs a starter like this.

I don't see the Pale Hose being able to do anything against a starter of this quality. Do you? Peralta is getting swing and miss like crazy. Brewers are a respectable 7-7 on the RL as a favorite and I like them getting 9 cracks at this misfit pitching staff. Not sure the Hose going with an opener here is going to be the move they think it is., especially one who keeps giving up runs before he hits the showers early.