Riley Greene is heating up at the plate with 3 home runs over his last 3 games, including a 2-HR night against Houston. He draws rookie righty Ryan Gusto, who has exceeded expectations so far, but had a 4.31 ERA in the minors and is likely due for regression. Greene crushes righties (.844 OPS vs. RHPs, all 6 of his HRs this year against them), and performs far better in night games (.972 OPS vs. .521 in day games). We price his HR odds closer to +400, so there’s definite value at +560.