This total feels low for Justin Verlander against the Phillies' lineup. The veteran has gone over this number in all three starts against the light hitting Reds and Mariners. Philadelphia's batting average goes up 37 points at home and I think they get to five hits Tuesday vs. Verlander.

Thought yesterday's Phillies game was in the bag up 3-0 after one, but the Giants continue to surprise and hung 10 on Philly, which hasn't lost back-to-back at home yet this season. Giants starter Justin Verlander looks rather done at 42 with a 6.92 ERA in three starts. New Phillies lefty Jesus Luzardo (2-0, 1.50 ERA) enters with B2B quality starts.

All system appear go for the surprising 12-4 Giants...except Justin Verlander. Bob Melvin might have some growing concerns at the very shaky work of the 42-year old Verlander (6.92 ERA, 1.69 WHIP), especially in his last two starts when only some heavy offensive contributions bailed him out in extra-inning wins vs. the Mariners and Reds. That sort of recipe might not work tonight with the Phils overjoyed at offseason addition Jesus Luzardo, who looks like he could rival Zack Wheeler as a potential staff ace after three highly-impressive efforts, with a 1.50 ERA and 1.00 WHIP, while striking out 25 and walking just 5 in 18 IP, and likely to hand off a lead to his bullpen. Play Phillies on Run Line