Betting on pitchers is such a crapshoot early in the year, but Clay Holmes looks to be in line to receive an adequate starter's workload, after building up to 88 pitches in his final spring start. He also threw 76 and 67 pitches in two starts prior and he's been performing extremely well this spring. In his most recent start, Holmes generated 15 whiffs on 37 swings and struck out eight - albeit many minor leaguers. He's featuring a new changeup that’s been downright filthy and I don’t think the books have a great idea of where to put this line with Holmes' starter role, that new changeup, and a retooled Astros lineup. Rather play the over 4.5 than over 3.5 Ks.