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Sat, Aug 3112:10 am UTCMinute Maid Park
Kansas City
Royals
KC
Last 5 ML
W/L86-76
ATS87-75
O/U69-88-5
FINAL SCORE
2
-
3
Houston
Astros
HOU
Last 5 ML
W/L88-73
ATS80-80
O/U65-90-6
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
86-76
Win /Loss
88-73
87-75
Spread
80-80
69-88-5
Over / Under
65-90-6
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
KC @ HOU
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MONEYLINE
KC @ HOU
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OVER / UNDER
KC @ HOU
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24%
PUBLIC
76%
MONEY
15%
PUBLIC
85%
MONEY
Over94%
PUBLIC
Under6%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Point SpreadHouston -1.5 +130
LOSS
Unit1.0
+1732
229-217-4 in Last 450 MLB Picks
+343
12-9 in Last 21 MLB ATS Picks
+922
15-8 in Last 23 KC ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

We will cut some slack for Framber Valdez after he took the loss last weekend vs. the Orioles. Valdez still didn't pitch too badly across five innings, but if anyone deserves a mulligan, it's him, as Houston had won in his previous ten starts, and his ERA since the start of July is a quite-respectable 2.48. On the other hand, we're not so inclined with KC's Seth Lugo, who seems to be running out of gas, with a 7.56 ERA across his last four starts, three of those being KC losses. They Royals might also be in the midst of a brief downturn after blowing a lead at Cleveland on Wednesday and a chance to go atop the AL Central. Play Astros on RL

Pick Made: Aug 30, 6:11 pm UTC on DraftKings
Point SpreadHouston -1 -110
PUSH
Unit1.0
+359
12-6 in Last 18 MLB Picks
+2
9-6 in Last 15 MLB ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Wasn't on my radar until I saw that KC's Vinnie Pasquantino ("hey Mr. Kotter!") and Lucas Erceg both left last night's loss injured -- on the same play. Losing either for an extended period would be crushing and both would be utterly devastating for the Royals. Vinnie P. is having a career season at .262 with 19 homers and a team-best 97 RBIs, while Erceg has been easily the team's best reliever since being acquired in trade. The Astros rallied last night to win (good for us) as soon as Erceg left. Tonight's starting pitcher Seth Lugo might be tiring as he's 2-3 with a 5.76 ERA this month.

Pick Made: Aug 30, 1:04 pm UTC on BetRivers

Team Injuries

Kansas City Royals
Monday, Dec 08, 2025
Avatar
3B
Maikel Garcia
HamstringProbable
Friday, Nov 07, 2025
Avatar
SP
Kris Bubic
ShoulderProbable
Avatar
RP
James McArthur
ElbowProbable
Avatar
RP
Alec Marsh
ShoulderOut
Tuesday, Nov 04, 2025
Avatar
SP
Bailey Falter
BicepsProbable
Wednesday, Oct 08, 2025
Avatar
SP
Seth Lugo
BackProbable
Avatar
RP
Lucas Erceg
ShoulderProbable
Avatar
CF
Kyle Isbel
HamstringProbable
Houston Astros
Monday, Dec 08, 2025
Avatar
3B
Isaac Paredes
HamstringProbable
Monday, Nov 17, 2025
Avatar
2B
Jose Altuve
FootProbable
Thursday, Nov 06, 2025
Avatar
RP
Ronel Blanco
ElbowOut
Avatar
RP
Kaleb Ort
ElbowProbable
Avatar
RP
Hayden Wesneski
ElbowOut
Avatar
RP
Brandon Walter
ElbowOut
Avatar
SS
Zach Dezenzo
ElbowProbable
Wednesday, Oct 08, 2025
Avatar
DH
Yordan Alvarez
AnkleProbable
Avatar
CF
Jake Meyers
CalfProbable
Avatar
RP
Bennett Sousa
ElbowProbable
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