Sugar House is our only book with 15.5 instead of 16.5 and that could be huge as Lively has gone at least 5.1 innings in eight straight starts but didn't go 5.2 in a couple of those. The winds are blowing in this afternoon and it's the first game of a DH, so the Guardians will want some length if possible to save the bullpen for Game 2. The SL Model has Lively at 5.4 innings.

Really the same deal as Monday and Tuesday, although that was rained out and why the DH today -- I'm gonna have to take the team with the best overall and home records in MLB +1.5 at home barring just a crazy pitching mismatch. Brandon Pfaadt vs. Ben Lively is not one; Pfaadt is 1-4 with a 4.37 ERA on the road Lively is 6-1 with a 2.70 ERA at home. Even better, I liked the play last night less when learned that Guardians leadoff hitter Steven Kwan was sitting as he's second in the majors in batting but now he's in there. Smart move by manager Stephen Vogt to sit him Tuesday when the game was in danger of being rained out anyways.