The Phillies are on a 16-3 run, with just one nine-inning loss in May. The Rangers have been scuffling, going 2-8 in their last 10 and scoring no more than four runs in any game in that stretch despite a series in Colorado. For comparison, Philadelphia has failed to score four just three times in their last 32 games. Sure, the Phillies have Taijuan Walker on the mound, but is that enough to justify these odds when Dane Dunning is returning from IL with no rehab stint and the Texas bullpen has a 5.15 ERA? I don't think so.

Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in three straight games. He has been excellent at home, posting a 1.042 OPS and driving in 30 runs there this season. Last year, he had a 1.081 OPS and 45 RBI across 67 games at home. Starting for the Rangers will be Dane Dunning, who has an underwhelming 1.34 WHIP for his career. Expect there to be a lot of traffic on the bases ahead of Harper, so I love taking a chance on this over at plus odds.