It feels as though some Hot Tub Time Machine vortex (I hadn't seen that in years until last night and forgot how funny it is) sucks me in anytime either Alex Wood or Alex Cobb is on the mound, and I constantly have to look up who said pitcher is with these days (today years old when found out that Cobb is hurt and has yet to pitch this season; hey, I know what's up with most guys but clearly have a blind spot for these two) because I am convinced they are the same person. The Wood version is 0-1 with an 8.10 ERA and on the hill today for the A's in Cleveland.

Shoutout to my buddy Propstarz for tipping me off here, as the price at +116 represents value and is worth at least a half unit. Oakland may be striking out a ton against left handed pitchers, but Logan Allen's profile is one I want to fade. Allen needs a 6th strikeout to beat us and he's gone to that level only once this season, when he struck out six in 6.2 innings but needed to punch out his final two batters, jumping from four to six strikeouts. Also, if lefty Ryan Noda is out of the lineup, I expect this number to take a hit, as Allen would face nine righties, who hit .300 against him with only 13 strikeouts in 17 innings.

This is a great matchup on paper as the As certainly strike out a lot versus opposing southpaws, however if we look at Logan Allen's K metrics, I don't believe he should be 5.5 versus any opponent, especially with favorable odds fading him. Allen has been held under 6 Ks in 21 of his 28 career starts (75% of his starts).

The A's have played better since the first week of the season but this is a bad team with lots of flaws. Guardians are hitting the ball better than they have in years and Alex Wood is becoming something of an auto-fade for us. His 2.1 WHIP is an obvious problem, he has a .442 BABIP which indicates how much the ball is being scorched and the league has an 1.042 OPS against him. Guardians should be able to run plenty on A's catchers (they are doing it more this year) and Cleveland has the bullpen advantage