Minny has the pitching advantage in both the starter and bullpen. The underlying metrics on Joe Ryan's FB worry me, but his splitter and sweeper look great and his 37.7% chase rate is excellent. He's allowed just one walk while striking out 12 in two starts. Kenta Maeda, on the other hand, is riding the struggle bus. Against the White Sox and Athletics, he's allowed a combined 9 runs and 5 walks, with only 5 strikeouts. His 8.07 xERA and .424 xwOBA are in the bottom 6% of the league.

No Carlos Correa for the Twins, and he was one of the rare Minnesota players who was hitting as the team is batting a league-low .184. Not really sure the Twins should even be favored.