The Braves have lost a key member of their lineup with Ozzie Albies (hamstring) landing on the IL. However, even with him out Monday, they hung 11 runs on the Yankees. Their upside is just as high in this matchup against Luis Severino, who has given up 38 runs (36 earned) over his last 27 2/3 innings. The Yankees have been struggling to produce, but even they could have a better night than normal with Bryce Elder starting for the Braves. He has a 7.94 ERA and a 1.62 WHIP over his last six starts. Give me the over.

This matchup is a bit one-sided. It is arguably the worst starting pitcher in the majors against one of the best offenses in MLB history. The Braves have scored six runs or more in five straight games and have won four of those games by six runs or more. This line is where it is because of the name recognition the Yankees have. This should be -150 at least. Lay the run with Braves.