I know it seems ridiculous to pick the Mets over the Braves, but here I am. I feel like the Braves dial it back in this one, which means they'll probably rest some regulars and avoid using their high-leverage relievers. They've won five of six, are on the last day of a long road trip, go home after the game and just took a doubleheader yesterday. The pitching matchup heavily favors the Mets, too, with Kodai Senga (the Braves haven't seen him yet, so that's another plus) against Yonny Chirinos. Basically: MLB teams don't throw games, but the Braves aren't too worried about this one and Senga is much better than Chirinos.