Blue Jays starter Chris Bassitt loves pitching in Toronto; he's 6-1 with a 2.24 ERA at home. He's allowed 16 of his 19 homers on the road. The Blue Jays should tee off on Orioles starter Kyle Gibson, who has a 5.72 ERA over his last 10 starts. Baltimore is also at a disadvantage having to travel following Sunday Night Baseball. The Blue Jays are winning 63 percent of my model's simulations.