At first this looks like a tough spot for the Angels, who played a doubleheader in Detroit on Thursday while the Blue Jays rested at home. But my simulations show the surging Halos covering the run line 63 percent of the time. New acquisition Lucas Giolito has allowed two or fewer earned runs in seven of his last nine starts. Toronto starter Kevin Gausman has been terrific all season, especially at home, but Shohei Ohtani, Mickey Moniak and company have put up 76 runs over their last 13 games (5.8 average).