Expert Picks
MLB | San Francisco 15 @ Milwaukee 1 | 05/27 | 12:10 AM UTC
San Francisco +110
WIN
ANALYSIS: The Giants are 4-1 when Alex Wood has started this year. They're 8-2 over their last ten. My model has San Francisco winning in 56% of its simulations, a nice figure for a plus-money payout. The Giants are also covering in 76% of the sims, if you're willing to take on the heavy juice for that bet.
Stephen Oh
Data Scientist
Season Splits
29-29, -95 ML
32-27, +332 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
50%
25-25, -67
27-23, +238
54%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
41%
10-14, -255
15-10, +128
60%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
53%
15-13, +419
15-11, -74
57%
When Line was +109 to +139
MONEY LINE
When Line was -159 to -129
50%
6-6, +171
7-3, +190
70%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
44%
8-10, +2
12-5, +296
70%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
45%
10-12, -140
11-5, +652
68%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
48%
14-15, -290
17-19, -440
47%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
57%
20-15, +460
19-16, +370
54%
vs MIL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs SF
75%
3-1, +137
1-3, -181
25%
when Alex Wood starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Freddy Peralta starts
80%
4-1, +301
5-4, +2
55%