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Fri 09/23 | 11:05 PM UTC | Philadelphia
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Atlanta Braves 101-60, +210 ML
ATL +1.5-160
ATL +143
Over 7+100
Philadelphia Phillies 87-75, -658 ML
PHI -1.5+135
PHI -170
Under 7-120

Expert Picks

MLB | Atlanta 1 @ Philadelphia 9 | 09/23 | 11:05 PM UTC

Philadelphia -140

WIN

ANALYSIS: This is the same pitching matchup from Sept. 17 when the Braves defeated Aaron Nola. It's very difficult for a team to beat the same starting pitcher twice in less than a week. Very strong angle. Nola has one of the lowest hard-hit rates (31.9%) in all of baseball. I love his three-pitch mix that features a four-seam fastball, 12-to-6 curveball and changeup. Take the home team.

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Jeff Hochman

West Coast Wiseguy
+775 12-4 IN LAST 16 MLB ML PICKS
+615 7-1 IN LAST 8 ATL ML PICKS

Season Splits

101-60, +210 ML
87-75, -658 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
62%
93-57, -65
82-67, -154
55%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
56%
41-31, -330
46-32, -208
59%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
34%
11-21, -952
57-39, -548
59%
When Line was +128 to +158
MONEY LINE
When Line was -185 to -155
20%
1-4, -267
14-6, +205
70%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
34%
8-15, -659
39-24, -288
61%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
50%
27-26, -498
31-35, -213
47%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
72%
49-19, +560
16-27, -665
37%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
59%
65-45, -600
62-49, +39
55%
vs PHI
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
56%
9-7, -92
7-9, -155
43%
when Jake Odorizzi starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Aaron Nola starts
42%
3-4, -183
13-16, -842
44%