Simulation Picks
SPREAD
ATL @ PHI
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MONEYLINE
ATL @ PHI
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OVER / UNDER
ATL @ PHI
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PUBLIC
PUBLIC
Over49%
PUBLIC
Under51%
Expert Picks
Money LinePhiladelphia -140
WIN
Unit1.0
+880
13-4 in Last 17 MLB ML Picks
+805
8-0 in Last 8 MLB Picks
Jeff's Analysis:
This is the same pitching matchup from Sept. 17 when the Braves defeated Aaron Nola. It's very difficult for a team to beat the same starting pitcher twice in less than a week. Very strong angle. Nola has one of the lowest hard-hit rates (31.9%) in all of baseball. I love his three-pitch mix that features a four-seam fastball, 12-to-6 curveball and changeup. Take the home team.
Pick Made: Sep 22, 9:53 pm UTC
Team Injuries
Atlanta Braves
No Player Injuries
Philadelphia Phillies
No Player Injuries
Season Splits
All Games
ALL
All Games
62%
93-57, -6582-67, -154
55%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
56%
41-31, -33046-32, -208
59%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
34%
11-21, -95257-39, -548
59%
When Line was +128 to +158
MONEY LINE
When Line was -185 to -155
20%
1-4, -26714-6, +205
70%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
34%
8-15, -65939-24, -288
61%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
50%
27-26, -49831-35, -213
47%
vs Teams Allowing >4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing <3.9 Runs
72%
49-19, +56016-27, -665
37%
3rd game without a day off
REST
3rd game without a day off
59%
65-45, -60062-49, +39
55%
vs PHI
HEAD TO HEAD
vs ATL
56%
9-7, -927-9, -155
43%
when Jake Odorizzi starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Aaron Nola starts
42%
3-4, -18313-16, -842
44%