Carlos Carrasco has a 4.42 ERA and 1.23 WHIP on the road. Though, the Mets offense seems to give him sufficient support, as at least eight runs have been scored in six straight of his starts and in nine of his last 10. Aaron Ashby gave up four runs in four innings when he faced the Mets earlier this season. Ashby hasn't pitched in the majors since August 19th, so he probably won't stay in too long. The over is 3-1 between these teams this season, and it has hit in five straight Mets away games.

As the Phillies stumble in the NL wild-card race, the Brewers are in a prime situation to take advantage despite having suffered back-to-back losses. New York has won five in a row and reached double digits in hits in its last two contests. Milwaukee has lost LHP Aaron Ashby’s last seven starts. Mets RHP Carlos Carrasco has allowed one run in each of his last two outings, both of which were victories. Take New York to win.