These pitchers have done very well against their respective opponents this season. Christian Javier has a 2.65 in 17.0 IP against the Rangers, with the under hitting in all three starts. Martin Perez has been one of the Rangers' best starters, and while he did struggle in his last game against the Astros, his other two starts were excellent. The under is 7-1 this season when these teams have played in Texas and has hit in four straight Astros games.

Texas’ LHP Martin Perez has been a little shaky since the All-Star break, however he’s 4-2 at home with a 2.60 ERA. In his last outing in Houston, he gave up seven runs in five innings of work. Houston’s RHP Cristian Javier has given up five earned runs in 17 innings in three starts this season against the Rangers. However, he’s backed by the league's best bullpen, which has pitched to a 2.96 ERA. The Astros rank 5th in wRC+ (112), while the Rangers are 13th (102). I like the Astros.

Martin Perez has been the Rangers best pitcher all season and he has pitched well against the Astros this season. Christian Javier has been pitching well and he has pitched well against the Rangers. However, Yordan Alvarez is still out and so is Ryan Pressly. The Rangers bullpen has been just as good as the Astros since the trade deadline, and I think they are able to avoid the home sweep here. I think this is much closer to 50-50.

The Astros are the much better team here, as evidenced by them being ahead 24 games in the standings and 11-4 in head-to-head battles this season. They are exponentially better on the road (40-27) than the Rangers are at home (28-37). The odds we get here aren't half bad, though, thanks to All-Star Martin Perez starting for the Rangers. He dominated the Astros twice this season, but last time out the Astros got to him for seven runs in five innings. I love the Astros' side here.