loading...
Wed 08/03 | 4:20 PM UTC | Atlanta
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Philadelphia Phillies 98-80, +4 ML
PHI +1.5-190
PHI +118
Over 8+100
Atlanta Braves 102-63, -19 ML
ATL -1.5+158
ATL -140
Under 8-120

Expert Picks

MLB | Philadelphia 3 @ Atlanta 1 | 08/03 | 4:20 PM UTC

OVER 7.5

LOSS

ANALYSIS: We've seen these teams play 11 times this season, and at least eight runs have been scored in nine of these games. The Phillies' Zach Wheeler has pitched well against the Braves this season in both of his starts, allowing only five ER in 12.3 IP. Meanwhile, in Charlie Morton's three starts against the Phillies this season, he has surrendered 10 ER over 14.3 IP. Not to mention, the over is 15-4-1 in his starts. While the Phillies may have the edge in their starting pitching, the Braves have the bullpen edge, especially after last night. Consider a small play on this low total at 7.5.

author-image

Allie O'Neill

Allie-Bama
+969 25-13 IN LAST 38 MLB PICKS

Season Splits

98-80, +4 ML
102-63, -19 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
53%
56-48, +135
63-42, -307
60%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
56%
30-23, +687
37-22, -160
62%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
50%
21-21, +560
55-27, +372
67%
When Line was +104 to +134
MONEY LINE
When Line was -155 to -125
57%
11-8, +510
17-8, +368
68%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
53%
16-14, +610
36-17, +247
67%
vs Teams That Win >54% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win 46-54% of Games
50%
27-26, +170
11-9, -162
55%
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 3.9 to 4.2 Runs
66%
20-10, +909
14-16, -712
46%
2nd game without a day off
REST
2nd game without a day off
46%
6-7, -234
9-4, +172
69%
vs ATL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs PHI
50%
6-6, +25
6-6, -176
50%
when Zack Wheeler starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Charlie Morton starts
55%
11-9, -133
11-10, -270
52%