Martin Perez has been the Rangers best starter all season and the Orioles have been much worse against lefties in the last 30 days ranked 23rd in the league in wOBA. They are also missing a key right-handed bat in Trey Mancini. Perez is 5-0 with a 3.30 ERA in his last seven starts and 9-0 with a 2.60 ERA in his last 15 starts. Kyle Bradish made one start since returning from IL and pitched well, but he is the Orioles weak spot in the rotation. Take the Rangers at home to avoid the sweep.

Baltimore won the first two games of this series quite easily but also had the clear starting pitching edge -- and, remember, the O's traded All-Star closer Jorge Lopez on Tuesday. The Rangers have the pitching edge today with Martin Perez (9-2, 2.52 ERA) over Kyle Bradish (1-4, 7.01 ERA). Surprised Perez wasn't traded Tuesday. Austin Hays and Rougned Odor are out of the Baltimore lineup. The SL Projection Model has Texas winning 4.6-4.